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Bubble-Driven Business Cycles

In many economies, long periods of steady growth in aggregate wealth are repeatedly interrupted by pronounced asset-price boom-bust episodes, and real activity typically moves with wealth in such episodes. I build a quantitative life-cycle model of …

Left-Digit Bias in Household Inflation Expectations

People often process numbers in simplified ways. One such simplification is left-digit bias, the tendency to give more weight to the leftmost digit of a number. We study whether this bias affects how households process inflation numbers when forming …

Inflation in the News: Numerical Precision, Sensational Framing, and Round-Number Effects

Fiscal Autonomy and Fiscal Sustainability: Subnational Taxation and Public Indebtedness in Contemporary Spain

This study assesses fiscal sustainability in contemporary Spain at the regional level. Spain consists of 17 autonomous regions, two fiscal regimes differing in taxing autonomy, and two path-dependent types of communities with more and less …